

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 43.63% ( | 23.37% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% ( | 38.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.03% ( | 60.97% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( | 18.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.93% ( | 49.07% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( | 23.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% ( | 57.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 68 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts County | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | Port Vale | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 55 |
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 49 |
| 11 | Salford City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 49 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 48 |
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 42 |
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 37 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 30 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 35 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 29 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 27 |
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
