

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City | 
| 43.63% (  -0.27) | 23.37% (  0.06) | 32.99% (  0.21) | 
| Both teams to score 62.86% (  -0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.33% (  -0.23) | 38.66% (  0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.03% (  -0.24) | 60.97% (  0.24) | 
| Swindon Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.88% (  -0.21) | 18.12% (  0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.93% (  -0.35) | 49.07% (  0.34) | 
| Salford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.77% (  0.01) | 23.23% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.86% (  0.02) | 57.14% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City | 
| 2-1 @ 8.96% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 6.14% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.1% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.73% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.5% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.59% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 10.49% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 6.54% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.21% (  0.04) 3-3 @ 1.81% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.66% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 4.48% (  0.05) 1-3 @ 3.73% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 1.16% (  -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.99% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 | 
| 3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 61 | 
| 4 | Notts County | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 57 | 
| 6 | Port Vale | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 57 | 
| 7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 55 | 
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 53 | 
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 49 | 
| 11 | Salford City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 48 | 
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 46 | 
| 14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 | 
| 16 | Chesterfield | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 42 | 
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 | 
| 18 | MK Dons | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 37 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 30 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 35 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 29 | 
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 27 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
