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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Salford City

Accrington
3 - 0
Salford City

Whalley (14'), Nolan (33' pen., 40')
Gubbins (17'), Martin (45+3'), Woods (67'), Woods (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bolton (64'), Tilt (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Grimsby Town
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Salford City

Salford City are in desperate need of a positive result here to bring some much-needed positivity to the dressing room, but it is hard to see that happening with the side showing very little to suggest that a comeback in the second half of the season is on the cards. Accrington Stanley will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a deflated Ammies squad, and we feel they will hand their opponents a fourth consecutive league defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
46.38% (-0.163 -0.16) 23.78% (0.145 0.15) 29.84% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.496 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.659 -0.66)42.06% (0.661 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.664 -0.66)64.46% (0.666 0.67)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)18.36% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.55 -0.55)49.47% (0.552 0.55)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.315 -0.31)26.81% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)62.1% (0.418 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 46.38%
    Salford City 29.84%
    Draw 23.78%
Accrington StanleyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Salford City
1-2
Accrington
Watson (88' pen.)
Garbutt (20'), Tilt (39'), Hendry (89')
Whalley (24'), Andrews (45')
Andrews (35'), Bagueloc'rich (38'), Whalley (87')
Sep 20, 2022 7.30pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Salford City
2-1
Accrington
Burgess (45'), Elliott (49')
Conway (54'), Hogan (83')
Finley (11')
Alese (13'), Finley (35'), Johnson (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale432113961431876
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster4321121066481875
3Bradford CityBradford4321111159401974
4Walsall4320131074532173
5AFC Wimbledon4319131155322370
6Notts County4319121263441969
7Colchester UnitedColchester431618951401166
8Grimsby Town43206175964-566
9Chesterfield4317121465501563
10Salford City431614135550562
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe431517114944562
12Swindon TownSwindon431515137061960
13Bromley431514145756159
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood431415145756157
15BarrowBarrow431511174947256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431412175564-954
17Gillingham431215163845-751
18Newport CountyNewport43139215170-1948
19MK Dons43138225166-1547
20Harrogate TownHarrogate431211203756-1947
21Accrington StanleyAccrington431113195167-1646
22Tranmere RoversTranmere431014193964-2544
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431010233965-2640
24Morecambe43106273763-2636


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