

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
| 46.38% ( | 23.78% ( | 29.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( | 42.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( | 64.46% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( | 18.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.52% ( | 49.47% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( | 26.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.9% ( | 62.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 3-0 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Port Vale | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
| 2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 75 |
| 3 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
| 4 | Walsall | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 73 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 70 |
| 6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 66 |
| 8 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 66 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 63 |
| 10 | Salford City | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 |
| 11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 62 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 70 | 61 | 9 | 60 |
| 13 | Bromley | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 57 |
| 15 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 56 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 54 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 48 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 47 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 47 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 46 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 44 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 40 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 43 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 36 |
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
