Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 19, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Necaxa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Puebla
Wednesday, April 16 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Wednesday, April 16 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Necaxa
Wednesday, April 16 at 4am in Liga MX
Wednesday, April 16 at 4am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
Result | ||
Puebla | Draw | Necaxa |
34.18% (![]() | 24.33% | 41.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.08% | 42.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.68% (![]() | 65.32% (![]() |
Puebla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% | 24.56% (![]() |