

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 32.01% ( | 23.75% ( | 44.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( | 40.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( | 63.25% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( | 24.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.54% ( | 59.45% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( | 18.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.84% ( | 50.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 44.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 |
| 6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 |
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
| 8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 |
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 |
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