

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 35.19% ( | 26.96% ( | 37.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% ( | 54.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% ( | 75.64% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( | 29.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.64% ( | 65.36% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( | 27.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.63% ( | 63.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 |
| 6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 |
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
| 8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 |
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 |
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