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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Grimsby Town

Harrogate
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Burrell (31'), Ramsay (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Green (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

With just one clean sheet from the last five matches apiece for either team heading into the clash, we expect goals at both ends here. That said, we can also see the sides cancelling each other out over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a point in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
30.48% (-0.147 -0.15) 26.02% (-0.073 -0.07) 43.5% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.238 0.24)51.55% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.205 0.2)73.34% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.209 0.21)23.56% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.302 0.3)57.62% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.48%
    Grimsby Town 43.5%
    Draw 26.01%
Harrogate TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.5%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Tilley (26')
Pollock (45'), Hendrie (48'), Preston (56'), Tilley (61'), Clifton (70')
Muldoon (25', 43')
Thomson (42'), Kerry (73')
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
2-2
Harrogate
Grimsby Town win 5-4 on penalties
Gibson (36' pen.), L (74')
Ohman (74'), Taylor (80')
Khouri (90')
Kiernan (81'), Lokko (86')
Lokko (33'), Smith (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4120111062471571
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City411613125347661
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536


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