Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 5-0 Newport
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
36.53% ( 0.09) | 27.26% ( -0.01) | 36.21% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
