Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ironi Kiryat Shmona would win this match.