

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.55%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 33.91% ( | 21.29% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 71.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.14% ( | 27.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.43% ( | 48.56% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.7% ( | 48.3% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( | 13.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.61% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 1-0 @ 4.11% ( 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.93% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 3-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-0 @ 2.37% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 2-3 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 3-4 @ 1.4% ( 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 2-5 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
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