Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.55%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.