

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.06%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 37.71% ( | 21.97% ( | 40.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.46% ( | 30.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.17% ( | 51.83% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( | 17.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.54% ( | 47.46% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( | 16.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.44% ( | 45.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-3 @ 2.55% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 4.35% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 3-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 40.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 36 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
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