

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 47.99% ( | 21.98% ( | 30.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.75% ( | 33.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.99% ( | 55.01% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( | 14.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.68% ( | 42.32% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.23% ( | 55.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.79% 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-3 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 36 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
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