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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Hellas Verona logo

Roma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernede (12'), Valentini (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Roma
Sunday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona

Verona's first task will be surviving the first half: they have conceded the most Serie A goals both in the opening 15 minutes (10) and the first half-hour (25); shipping a league-high 61% of their goals before the break. Though the Gialloblu have certainly tightened up in recent weeks, Roma can still get in front and cruise to a controlled home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawHellas Verona
68.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 19.83% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 11.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.22% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05)50.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)72.08% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)51.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.55% (0.062999999999999 0.06)85.45% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma 68.68%
    Hellas Verona 11.48%
    Draw 19.83%
RomaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 13.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 68.68%
1-1 @ 9.28% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 3.11% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 11.48%

How you voted: Roma vs Hellas Verona

Roma
88.6%
Draw
10.0%
Hellas Verona
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 11
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Tengstedt (13'), Magnani (34'), Harroui (88')
Svilar (47'), Zanetti (74'), Magnani (80')
Rocha (90+5')
Soule (28'), Dovbyk (53')
Suslov (47'), Kone (79')
Jan 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
2-1
Hellas Verona
Lukaku (19'), Pellegrini (25')
Paredes (41'), Llorente (56')
Folorunsho (76')
Dawidowicz (52'), Folorunsho (56')
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
2-1
Roma
Duda (4'), Ngonge (45+3')
Dawidowicz (64'), Baroni (70')
Hien (84')
Aouar (56')
Dybala (13'), Aouar (62'), Pellegrini (68')
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hellas Verona
1-3
Roma
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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