

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.19%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 58.19% ( | 19.4% ( | 22.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.41% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.77% ( | 48.22% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( | 9.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.88% ( | 32.12% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.33% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 5% ( 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 4-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-3 @ 1.38% ( 5-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 4.1% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-0 @ 2.33% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.4% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 36 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
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