Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.83%) and 0-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
31.02% (![]() | 21.61% (![]() | 47.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.2% (![]() | 30.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.86% (![]() | 52.14% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% (![]() | 20.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.96% (![]() | 53.04% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.29% (![]() | 13.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.06% (![]() | 40.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 8.85% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 8.8% (![]() 1-3 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 47.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |