

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.04%) and 0-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 37.2% ( | 21.81% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.26% ( | 29.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.12% ( | 50.88% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( | 17.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.76% ( | 47.23% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( | 15.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.53% ( | 44.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-3 @ 2.63% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 3-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 4% Total : 40.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
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