Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Melbourne City in this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
62.72% (![]() | 20.24% (![]() | 17.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.86% (![]() | 40.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.49% (![]() | 62.5% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% (![]() | 12.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.07% (![]() | 37.93% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.13% (![]() | 36.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.34% (![]() | 73.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
2-0 @ 9.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.72% | 1-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.24% | 1-2 @ 4.72% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 37 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 15 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |