We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Port Vale
While goalscoring has not been a problem for Port Vale over these past few weeks, Wimbledon's shooting boots have failed them, a recipe for disaster against Moore's prolific men.
The visitors still concede plenty of chances and should not walk away from this one unscathed, but they could very well walk away with automatic promotion in the bag as Wimbledon prepare for the playoffs.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.