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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Port Vale

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Port Vale


Bugiel (45+3'), Hutchinson (58'), Lewis (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockley (64'), Headley (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Port Vale

While goalscoring has not been a problem for Port Vale over these past few weeks, Wimbledon's shooting boots have failed them, a recipe for disaster against Moore's prolific men. The visitors still concede plenty of chances and should not walk away from this one unscathed, but they could very well walk away with automatic promotion in the bag as Wimbledon prepare for the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawPort Vale
43.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.42%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 43.4%
    Port Vale 28.32%
    Draw 28.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.37%
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 28.32%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale

AFC Wimbledon
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Port Vale
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Cover (9'), Richards (11'), Stockley (62')
Debrah (19'), Stockley (64'), Lowe (75'), Baker-Boatiey (87'), Ripley (90+2')
Neufville (61'), Hippolyte (78')
Lewis (11'), Jackson (12')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Smith (21'), Eagles (69')
Eagles (48')

Barcham (17'), Robinson (58')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Port Vale
Poleon (53'), Elliott (58'), Barnett (85'), Robertson (89')
Francomb (16'), Parrett (66')

Amoros (18'), Streete (60'), De Freitas (81'), Kelly (82')
Feb 5, 2013 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2013 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Port Vale
Midson (8', 42' pen.)
Ajala (20')
Jones (44'), Pope (58')
Chilvers (42'), Loft (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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