Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.