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AFC Wimbledon
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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gillingham

Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Swindon
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Gillingham

 Wimbledon may have won just one of their previous six home league games, but they will still head into the final round of fixtures of 2024 with the league's joint second-best home record, and we think that they will take advantage of their familiar surroundings to claim a narrow victory, especially as Gillingham have lost four of their last six away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AFC Wimbledon.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
52.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)56.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (0.035999999999994 0.04)40.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.05%
    Gillingham 22.07%
    Draw 25.86%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Gillingham
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Masterson (85')

Tilley (43')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Gillingham
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Ehmer (58'), Alexander (66')
Al-Hamadi (52')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236
> League Two Full Table


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