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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
West Brom logo

Cardiff
0 - 0
West Brom


Salech (33')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-3 Derby
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

This is a tough match to call given the recent managerial changes at both clubs, and although the Bluebirds really do need three points this weekend, we think that they will have to settle for just one. There was little to separate the two sides in the first meeting of the season back in October, and we can see this match ending in a draw once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.23% (-0.158 -0.16) 27.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 32.24% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 48.69% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (-0.149 -0.15)56.9% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (-0.12 -0.12)77.81% (0.124 0.12)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.158 -0.16)27.7% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.205 -0.2)63.26% (0.209 0.21)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (0.0039999999999907 0)32.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.23%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.24%
    Draw 27.52%
Cardiff CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Cardiff vs West Brom

Cardiff City
50.0%
Draw
30.8%
West Bromwich Albion
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
0-0
Cardiff
Maja (39'), Styles (52'), Colwill (77'), Furlong (89'), Grant (90+3')
Ng (39'), Tanner (72'), Colwill (78')
Feb 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 32
West Brom
2-0
Cardiff
Johnston (1'), Weimann (80')
Furlong (52')

Collins (49'), Goutas (72')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cardiff
0-1
West Brom

Bowler (87')
Sarmiento (50')
Furlong (88'), Bartley (90')
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
1-1
West Brom
Kaba (65')
Dike (17')
Aug 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
0-0
Cardiff
O'Shea (21'), Livermore (31'), Molumby (54')
Ojo (33'), Ng (48'), Allsop (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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