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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Watford logo

West Brom
2 - 1
Watford

Grant (11', 11', 11'), Johnston (60', 60')
Lankshear (41'), Lankshear (41'), Furlong (45+1'), Furlong (45+1'), Price (65'), Price (65'), Bartley (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sissoko (76')
Pollock (41'), Pollock (41'), Louza (59'), Louza (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Watford had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
54.14% (-0.257 -0.26)24.06% (0.07 0.07)21.8% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 51.05% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)49.92% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09% (-0.061 -0.06)71.91% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (-0.123 -0.12)18.35% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (-0.21 -0.21)49.46% (0.212 0.21)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.147 0.15)37.47% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.145 0.15)74.25% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 54.13%
    Watford 21.8%
    Draw 24.06%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.8%

How you voted: West Brom vs Watford

West Bromwich Albion
67.6%
Draw
17.6%
Watford
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Watford
2-1
West Brom
Issouf Bayo (35', 50')
Sissoko (21'), Louza (70')
Molumby (68')
Molumby (53'), Fellows (81'), Swift (90+8')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')