Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Watford |
| 46.22% ( | 26.56% ( | 27.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% ( | 55.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( | 76.48% ( |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.13% ( | 23.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.93% ( | 58.07% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.66% ( | 72.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 88 |
| 2 | Burnley | 42 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 57 | 13 | 44 | 88 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 83 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 62 |
| 7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 60 |
| 9 | Millwall | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 60 |
| 10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 56 |
| 11 | Watford | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
| 12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 54 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 63 | 58 | 5 | 53 |
| 14 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 53 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 16 | Preston North EndPreston | 42 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 49 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 48 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 47 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 46 |
| 20 | Hull City | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 44 |
| 21 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 |
| 22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 42 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 42 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 40 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 82 | -38 | 40 |
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