Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.