

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 31.22% ( | 27.22% ( | 41.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( | 56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( | 77.09% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( | 32.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.5% ( | 69.5% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( | 26.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.23% ( | 61.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 45 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 94 | 38 | 56 | 99 |
| 2 | York City | 45 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 93 | 42 | 51 | 93 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 82 |
| 4 | Rochdale | 44 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 71 |
| 5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 70 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 70 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 67 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 66 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 67 | 61 | 6 | 63 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 63 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 59 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 59 |
| 14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 57 |
| 15 | Woking | 45 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 57 |
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 55 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 54 |
| 19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 53 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 51 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 53 | 75 | -22 | 50 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 49 |
| 23 | Fylde | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 50 | 82 | -32 | 40 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 96 | -58 | 22 |
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
