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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bolton logo

Barnsley
4 - 1
Bolton

Russell (15', 86'), Jalo (25', 71')
Keillor-Dunn (22'), Connell (66'), Russell (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Collins (74')
Dempsey (85'), Lolos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 6-2 Barnsley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Needing to quickly get their playoff bid back on track, we fancy Bolton Wanderers to come out on top against a Barnsley side who are left devoid of confidence after a dismal run in the new year and whose tally of 22 points at home this season is only better than four sides in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
34.09% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 25.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 40.7% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.084 -0.08)69.25% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)26.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.125 -0.13)61.77% (0.124 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 34.09%
    Bolton Wanderers 40.7%
    Draw 25.21%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.09%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.7%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Lolos (26')
Lolos (58'), Thomason (75'), Williams (75'), Charles (90+4')
Keillor-Dunn (80'), Phillips (89')
McCarthy (42'), Cotter (76'), Cotter (85'), Nwakali (90'), Yoganathan (90+4')
May 7, 2024 8pm
Bolton
2-3
Barnsley
Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')
Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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