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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bolton logo

Barnsley
4 - 1
Bolton

Russell (15', 86'), Jalo (25', 71')
Keillor-Dunn (22'), Connell (66'), Russell (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Collins (74')
Dempsey (85'), Lolos (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 6-2 Barnsley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Needing to quickly get their playoff bid back on track, we fancy Bolton Wanderers to come out on top against a Barnsley side who are left devoid of confidence after a dismal run in the new year and whose tally of 22 points at home this season is only better than four sides in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
34.09% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 25.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 40.7% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.084 -0.08)69.25% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)26.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.125 -0.13)61.77% (0.124 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.73% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 34.09%
    Bolton Wanderers 40.7%
    Draw 25.21%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 34.09%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.7%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Lolos (26')
Lolos (58'), Thomason (75'), Williams (75'), Charles (90+4')
Keillor-Dunn (80'), Phillips (89')
McCarthy (42'), Cotter (76'), Cotter (85'), Nwakali (90'), Yoganathan (90+4')
May 7, 2024 8pm
Bolton
2-3
Barnsley
Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')
Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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