Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.