We said: Besiktas 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir
Besiktas have had their issues at the back, which could keep this contest tighter than expected. However, the hosts' superior attacking quality and their ability to create more clear-cut chances than Basaksehir should give them the edge in what is likely to be a closely-fought encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.