MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 05:58:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 1
Carrick

Jarvis (75')
Loughran (52'), Corbally (56'), Kennedy (81'), Kennedy (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cushley (90+7')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 4-1 Portadown
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
56.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.76% (0.023 0.02) 20.02% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)50.81% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.7% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)17.91% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)48.7% (0.064 0.06)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53%76.47%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 56.2%
    Carrick Rangers 20.02%
    Draw 23.76%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
0-0
Ballymena
Buchanan-Rolleston (30'), Boyle (35'), McGuckin (45'), Cherry (68'), (89'), (90')
(27'), (32'), (90')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Ballymena
1-2
Carrick
McCallion (65')
Carson (8'), Scott (22')
Purkis (49'), Macuilaitis (71')
Forsythe (22'), Cherry (23'), Clucas (25'), Heatley (80')
Glendinning (79')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
1-4
Ballymena
Gordon (57')
Forsythe (26'), Glendinning (35'), Gordon (35'), Macuilaitis (56'), Clucas (69'), Stewart (75'), Cherry (77')
Jarvis (2'), Lafferty (15'), Kennedy (90+1' pen., 90+6')
Jarvis (4'), Carson (30'), McMurray (35'), Scott (35'), Kennedy (37')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
2-1
Ballymena
Tilney (66'), Purkis (77')
Cushley (14'), Crowe (55'), Buchanan-Rolleston (90+2')
Stewart (90+4')
Gawne (3'), McMurray (19'), Nelson (80')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Ballymena
0-2
Carrick

Robinson (33')
Teelan (29'), Macuilaitis (88')
Watson (16'), Stewart (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield37274669274285
2LarneLarne371711946331362
3GlentoranGlentoran371791149371260
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon37166155048254
5CrusadersCrusaders37166154752-554
6ColeraineColeraine371410135450452
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville371671454401455
2PortadownPortadown37158144644253
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena37145184652-647
4GlenavonGlenavon371110163847-943
5Carrick RangersCarrick37711193255-2332
6Loughgall3757253581-4622
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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