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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Crowe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Graham (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 0-0 Loughgall
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-4 Larne
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
23.27% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 26.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 49.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.39% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)79.77% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.29% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 23.27%
    Larne 49.74%
    Draw 26.97%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.16%
3-0 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 23.27%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 14.18%
0-2 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 49.74%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Bolger (89'), Want (89')
Cherry (71'), Clucas (78')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield36274568254385
2GlentoranGlentoran361791047341360
3LarneLarne361611944321259
4ColeraineColeraine361410125447752
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon36156154746151
6CrusadersCrusaders36156154452-851
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville361671354381655
2PortadownPortadown36148144444050
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena36145174650-447
4GlenavonGlenavon361010163647-1140
5Carrick RangersCarrick36710193053-2331
6Loughgall3656253379-4621
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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