Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.