Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.