Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.