
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.13%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aldershot Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 33.68% ( | 22.52% ( | 43.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( | 34.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( | 56.07% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( | 20.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.62% ( | 53.38% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( | 16.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.21% ( | 45.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 1-0 @ 5.31% ( 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-3 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 2-3 @ 4.17% ( 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 3-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 40 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 97 | 55 | 42 | 92 |
| 2 | Barnet | 39 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 53 | 18 | 71 |
| 3 | Bromley | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 70 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 |
| 5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 63 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 62 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 54 | 17 | 61 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 59 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 52 |
| 11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 49 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
| 14 | Woking | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Fylde | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 46 |
| 18 | Eastleigh | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 46 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 45 |
| 20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 44 |
| 21 | York City | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 43 |
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
| 23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 67 | -20 | 42 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 29 |
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
