
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.13%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aldershot Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 33.68% (  0.28) | 22.52% (  0.03) | 43.8% (  -0.32) | 
| Both teams to score 66.37% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.82% (  -0.06) | 34.18% (  0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.93% (  -0.07) | 56.07% (  0.07) | 
| Oxford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.25% (  0.12) | 20.75% (  -0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.62% (  0.18) | 53.38% (  -0.19) | 
| Aldershot Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.74% (  -0.15) | 16.26% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.21% (  -0.27) | 45.79% (  0.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Oxford City | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 2-1 @ 7.58% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 5.31% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 4.17% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 3.97% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 3.61% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% (  0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 9.64% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 6.88% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.37% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 2.19% (  -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 8.75% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.13% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.57% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.3% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.17% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.37% (  -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.41% (  -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.89% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% (  -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.99% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.81% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 40 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 97 | 55 | 42 | 92 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 39 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 53 | 18 | 71 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 70 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 | 
| 5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 63 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 62 | 
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 54 | 17 | 61 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 60 | 
| 9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 59 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 52 | 
| 11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 | 
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 49 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 | 
| 14 | Woking | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 | 
| 15 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 | 
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 | 
| 17 | Fylde | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 46 | 
| 18 | Eastleigh | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 46 | 
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 45 | 
| 20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 44 | 
| 21 | York City | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 43 | 
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 | 
| 23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 67 | -20 | 42 | 
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 29 | 
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