
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Fylde |
| 39.53% ( | 25.18% ( | 35.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( | 46.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( | 68.88% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( | 23.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.66% ( | 57.34% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( | 25.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.43% ( | 60.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 40 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 97 | 55 | 42 | 92 |
| 2 | Barnet | 39 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 71 | 53 | 18 | 71 |
| 3 | Bromley | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 70 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 |
| 5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 63 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 62 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 54 | 17 | 61 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 59 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 52 |
| 11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 49 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
| 14 | Woking | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Fylde | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 46 |
| 18 | Eastleigh | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 66 | 80 | -14 | 46 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 45 |
| 20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 44 |
| 21 | York City | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 43 |
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
| 23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 67 | -20 | 42 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 29 |
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