Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.