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League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Reading logo

Northampton
0 - 0
Reading

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 0-4 Northampton
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-3 Reading
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Reading

With both clubs securing pivotal victories last time out, we expect a competitive encounter to materialise on Saturday. However, with Northampton's best work coming on their travels, we feel Reading will edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawReading
28.52% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 25.22%46.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.26% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)67.73% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.22%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 28.52%
    Reading 46.24%
    Draw 25.22%
Northampton TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 7.74%
2-1 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.52%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-3 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.24%

How you voted: Northampton vs Reading

Northampton Town
0.0%
Draw
10.0%
Reading
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Reading
4-1
Northampton
Knibbs (5'), Smith (28'), Savage (75'), Camara (87')
Eaves (81')
Eaves (45'), McGeehan (90+3')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Reading
1-0
Northampton
Ehibhaimha (65')
Elliott (22')

Monthe (4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Northampton
3-1
Reading
Hoskins (10'), Appere (37'), Pinnock (90+6')
McWilliams (80')
Ballard (66')
Savage (11'), Ehibhaimha (15'), Mola (78')
Yiadom (90+1'), Mola (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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