Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.64%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 22.81% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.