

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Sydney FC has a probability of 35.31% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.4%) and 3-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Sydney FC win is 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.93%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 43.6% ( | 21.09% ( | 35.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 72.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.63% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.68% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( | 13.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.99% ( | 40.01% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( | 16.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.04% ( | 45.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 3-2 @ 4.89% ( 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-3 @ 1.49% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 5-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 43.6% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 3-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-0 @ 2.17% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 2-3 @ 4.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 3-4 @ 1.34% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 35.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
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