

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 25.24% and a draw has a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.87%).
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 54.72% ( | 20.03% ( | 25.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.59% ( | 10.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.05% ( | 33.95% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( | 22.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.39% ( | 55.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-2 @ 5.05% ( 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 4-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-3 @ 1.43% ( 5-2 @ 1.29% ( 5-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 3-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-0 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 3-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 28 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 25 |
| 7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 21 |
| 9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 11 |
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