

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 62.45% ( | 19.52% ( | 18.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.11% ( | 34.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.13% ( | 56.87% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% ( | 10.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.3% ( | 34.7% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( | 32.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.88% ( | 69.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.98% Total : 62.45% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 18.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 70 | 10 | 60 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 56 | 17 | 39 | 52 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Ajax | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 29 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Almere CityAlmere City | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 27 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 24 |
| 14 | Heracles | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 22 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 18 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 13 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 46 | -30 | 13 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
