Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.98%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it is 2-1 (5.39%).
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
| 20.1% ( | 21.17% ( | 58.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( | 39.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( | 61.78% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( | 33.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.22% ( | 69.77% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( | 13.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.15% ( | 39.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0-3 @ 6.07% ( 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0-4 @ 3.08% ( 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0-5 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 58.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 63 | 9 | 54 | 56 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 46 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 36 |
| 5 | Ajax | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 35 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 30 |
| 7 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
| 11 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Heracles | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 18 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 12 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 12 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
