MX23RW : Wednesday, January 17 15:58:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Excelsior
FC Twente
4 - 2
Excelsior
Ugalde (45'), van Wolfswinkel (59' pen., 80'), Taha (85')
Smal (67'), Propper (77')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Parrott (9'), Nieuwpoort (13')
Naujoks (24'), Dijkhuizen (25'), Driouech (26'), Horemans (57'), Nieuwpoort (59')
Zagre (24')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 FC Twente
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Excelsior
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Apart from when PSV came to town at the end of last month, Twente are unbeaten at De Grolsch Veste this season and will be confident of adding three points to their tally on Friday. Excelsior were unconvincing during their stalemate at Waalwijk on the weekend, and we feel that the Kralingers' winless run in the Eredivisie will continue in Enschede. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
68.73% (0.175 0.17) 17.31% (-0.058 -0.06) 13.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.56% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.44% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.07% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.42% (0.043999999999997 0.04)8.58% (-0.0419 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.35% (0.107 0.11)29.65% (-0.106 -0.11)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (-0.146 -0.15)35.86% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (-0.148 -0.15)72.64% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 68.73%
    SBV Excelsior 13.96%
    Draw 17.31%
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 68.73%
1-1 @ 7.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.31%
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 13.96%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Excelsior

FC Twente
92.6%
Draw
3.7%
SBV Excelsior
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
FC Twente
4-0
Excelsior
Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
Feb 12, 2017 11.30am
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Result
Kotov
Cobolli
5 3 7 2
7 6 5 6
Result
Elahi Galan
Baez
5 6 2 4
7 2 6 6
Result
Korpatsch
Krejcikova
2 2
6 6
Result
Anisimova
Podoroska
6 6
2 3
Result
Annie Fernandez
Parks
5 4
7 6
Result
Rakhimova
Parry
5 2
7 6
Result
Wozniacki
Timofeeva
6 4 1
1 6 6
Result
Sinner
De Jong
6 6 6
2 2 2
Result
Jabeur
Andreeva
0 2
6 6
Result
Kovacevic
Khachanov
4 3 6 3
6 6 4 6
Result
Marozsan
Cerundolo
77 6 6
65 4 2
Result
Musetti
Van Assche
3 6 77 3 0
6 3 65 6 6
Result
Mannarino
Munar
6 6 1 2 6
3 3 6 6 3
Result
Zakharova
Juvan
6 6
1 1
Result
Fritz
Gaston
6 6 6
0 3 1
Result
Badosa
Pavlyuchenkova
6 6
2 3
Result
Korneeva
Haddad Maia
1 2
6 6
Result
Siegemund
Hunter
4 6 3
6 3 6
Result
De Minaur
Arnaldi
6 6 6
3 0 3
Result
Dolehide
Gauff
62 2
77 6
Result
Korda
Halys
6 6 6
4 4 4
Result
Monfils
Martin Etcheverry
4 4 4
6 6 6
Result
Tsurenko
Masarova
6 6
3 4
Result
Garcia
Frech
4 62
6 77
Result
O'Connell
Shelton
4 1 6 65
6 6 3 77
Result
Tiafoe
Machac
4 4 65
6 6 77
Result
Eubanks
Rublev
4 4 4
6 6 6
Result
Kostyuk
Mertens
5 6 710
7 1 66
Result
Thompson
Tsitsipas
6 66 2 64
4 78 6 77
Result
Fruhvirtova
Sabalenka
3 2
6 6
Result
Djokovic
Popyrin
6 4 77 6
3 6 64 3
Result
Sakkari
Avanesyan
4 4
6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1717005975251
2Feyenoord17123250163439
3FC Twente17114236201637
4AZ AlkmaarAZ17103436162033
5Ajax178453832628
6Sparta RotterdamSparta177462422225
7Go Ahead Eagles176562826223
8NECNijmegen175753330322
9Heerenveen176292632-620
10PEC Zwolle175482530-519
11Fortuna SittardSittard175481730-1319
12Almere CityAlmere City175481934-1519
13FC UtrechtUtrecht174671726-918
14Heracles175392240-1818
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior173862835-717
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1742111630-1414
17Vitesse1733111237-2512
18FC VolendamVolendam1732121841-2311

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!