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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Feyenoord
Excelsior
2 - 4
Feyenoord
Parrott (16'), Lamprou (72')
Fitz-Jim (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gimenez (6', 61', 82'), Maduro (66')
Paixao (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 AZ
Sunday, November 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord

Matches directly following an international break can sometimes be a little tricky for clubs like Feyenoord, whose players are returning from international duty. However, they will know that they cannot afford any more dropped points and will not have the luxury of resting too many first-team players. We do not expect this one to be played at a blistering pace, and we feel like the visitors will look to manage this match rather than try to blow away their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
16.97% (0.519 0.52) 19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 64.02% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 59.83% (1.207 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.67% (1.012 1.01)34.33% (-1.011 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76% (1.133 1.13)56.24% (-1.133 -1.13)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (1.226 1.23)33.38% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (1.325 1.33)70.01% (-1.325 -1.32)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (0.15900000000001 0.16)10.18% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.55% (0.35900000000001 0.36)33.45% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 16.97%
    Feyenoord 64.02%
    Draw 19%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 4.67% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 3.73% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.05% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 16.97%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.153 0.15)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19%
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-3 @ 7.41% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-4 @ 4.23% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.07% (0.142 0.14)
0-4 @ 3.86% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.32% (0.097 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.93% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 64.02%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Feyenoord

SBV Excelsior
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
Feyenoord
88.9%
18
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
Excelsior
0-2
Feyenoord
Gimenez (9', 75')
Nov 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 14
Feyenoord
5-1
Excelsior
Szymanski (11', 50'), Kokcu (20', 66'), Walemark (78')
Feb 3, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 20
Excelsior
2-1
Feyenoord
Messaoud (63'), Van der Meer (90')
Schouten (59'), van der Meer (93')
Van Persie (54')
Vilhena (73')
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Apr 1, 2018 3.45pm
Feyenoord
5-0
Excelsior
Boetius (4'), Toornstra (27'), Vilhena (42'), Berghuis (55'), De Wijs (76' og.)

Faes (35'), Mattheij (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1717005975251
2Feyenoord17123250163439
3FC Twente17114236201637
4AZ AlkmaarAZ17103436162033
5Ajax178453832628
6Sparta RotterdamSparta177462422225
7Go Ahead Eagles176562826223
8NECNijmegen175753330322
9Heerenveen176292632-620
10PEC Zwolle175482530-519
11Fortuna SittardSittard175481730-1319
12Almere CityAlmere City175481934-1519
13FC UtrechtUtrecht174671726-918
14Heracles175392240-1818
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior173862835-717
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1742111630-1414
17Vitesse1733111237-2512
18FC VolendamVolendam1732121841-2311

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