

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-3 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 12.52% ( | 16.38% ( | 71.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.6% ( | 31.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.14% ( | 52.86% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( | 37.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.01% ( | 73.99% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.18% ( | 7.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.25% ( | 27.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 3.62% ( 1-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 2-0 @ 1.42% ( 3-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 12.52% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.38% | 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-3 @ 8.03% ( 1-3 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0-4 @ 5.12% ( 1-4 @ 5.06% ( 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0-5 @ 2.61% ( 1-5 @ 2.58% ( 2-4 @ 2.5% ( 2-5 @ 1.27% ( 0-6 @ 1.11% ( 1-6 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.68% Total : 71.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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