

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 55.42% ( | 22.18% ( | 22.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( | 41.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( | 63.49% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( | 14.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.04% ( | 42.95% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( | 31.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.56% ( | 68.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
