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Ajax
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Excelsior
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 2
Excelsior
Oukili (21', 60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van den Buijs (74' og.), Baas (80')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-4 Feyenoord
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Waalwijk are yet to draw a game this season, but that could end on Saturday, as they welcome an Excelsior side with more stalemates (six) than any side in the Eredivisie. A tie extends the home side's undefeated run against this weekend's opponents to five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
31.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 23.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 44.82% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.17% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.6% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (0.012 0.01)62.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.059000000000005 0.06)59.69% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)18.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)49.56% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 31.52%
    SBV Excelsior 44.82%
    Draw 23.65%
RKC WaalwijkDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.52%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 44.82%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Excelsior

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
SBV Excelsior
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
RKC Waalwijk
5-2
Excelsior
Adewoye (38'), Clement (50'), Lutonda (60'), Anita (80'), Kramer (90+1')
Baas (15'), El Yaakoubi (43')
May 22, 2019 5.30pm
Second Round
Excelsior
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Omarsson (49')
Matthys (56')
Spierings (38')
Spierings (35'), Hansson (35'), Vaessen (89')
Spierings (70')
May 19, 2019 1.30pm
Second Round
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Excelsior
Bilate (53'), Gaari (81')
Gaari (37'), Mulder (88')
Fortes (71')
Koolwijk (40')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1717005975251
2Feyenoord17123250163439
3FC Twente17114236201637
4AZ AlkmaarAZ17103436162033
5Ajax178453832628
6Sparta RotterdamSparta177462422225
7Go Ahead Eagles176562826223
8NECNijmegen175753330322
9Heerenveen176292632-620
10PEC Zwolle175482530-519
11Fortuna SittardSittard175481730-1319
12Almere CityAlmere City175481934-1519
13FC UtrechtUtrecht174671726-918
14Heracles175392240-1818
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior173862835-717
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1742111630-1414
17Vitesse1733111237-2512
18FC VolendamVolendam1732121841-2311

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