Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 31.52% ( | 23.65% ( | 44.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( | 40.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( | 62.98% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( | 25.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.3% ( | 59.69% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( | 18.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.43% ( | 49.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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