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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
31.52% (![]() | 23.65% (![]() | 44.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% (![]() | 40.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% (![]() | 62.98% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% (![]() | 25.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% (![]() | 59.69% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% (![]() | 18.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% (![]() | 49.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.14% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |