

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 21.36% (  -1.18) | 21.53% (  -0.79) | 57.1% (  1.96) | 
| Both teams to score 58.77% (  1.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.6% (  2.16) | 39.4% (  -2.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.26% (  2.22) | 61.74% (  -2.22) | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.05% (  0.15) | 31.95% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.59% (  0.17) | 68.41% (  -0.17) | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.36% (  1.35) | 13.64% (  -1.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.2% (  2.63) | 40.8% (  -2.62) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 2-1 @ 5.65% (  -0.24) 1-0 @ 4.97% (  -0.5) 2-0 @ 2.84% (  -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.15% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.14% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 1.08% (  -0.1) Other @ 2.54% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 9.9% (  -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.63% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 4.36% (  -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.42% (  0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.87% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 8.68% (  -0.45) 0-2 @ 8.65% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.55% (  0.32) 0-3 @ 5.74% (  0.26) 2-3 @ 3.74% (  0.2) 1-4 @ 3.27% (  0.31) 0-4 @ 2.86% (  0.26) 2-4 @ 1.86% (  0.18) 1-5 @ 1.3% (  0.18) 0-5 @ 1.14% (  0.15) Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.1% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 | 
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 | 
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 | 
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
