

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 45.75% ( | 23.14% ( | 31.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( | 17.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.62% ( | 47.37% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( | 24.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.5% ( | 58.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 4.14% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
