Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 44.72% ( | 23.14% ( | 32.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( | 37.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( | 60.13% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( | 17.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.23% ( | 47.77% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.69% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 4-0 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 4.07% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
| 3 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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