

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Vitesse | 
| 41.32% (  0.2) | 23.74% (  -0.09) | 34.94% (  -0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 62.11% (  0.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.1% (  0.42) | 39.9% (  -0.42) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.74% (  0.44) | 62.26% (  -0.43) | 
| Cambuur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.38% (  0.27) | 19.62% (  -0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.43% (  0.43) | 51.57% (  -0.43) | 
| Vitesse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.26% (  0.14) | 22.74% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.59% (  0.2) | 56.41% (  -0.2) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cambuur | Draw | Vitesse | 
| 2-1 @ 8.76% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 7.27% (  -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.92% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 3.52% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 3.21% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.44% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% (  0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 10.76% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 4.46% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.74% (  0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.97% (  -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.61% (  -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.89% (  -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.94% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.2% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.42% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% (  0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.94% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 | 
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